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Copy file name to clipboardExpand all lines: lectures/five_preferences.md
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@@ -122,7 +122,7 @@ def T_θ_factory(θ, π):
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def compute_change_measure(u, c, θ, π):
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"""
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Compute the channge of measure given a utility function `u`, a consumption vector `c`,
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Compute the change of measure given a utility function `u`, a consumption vector `c`,
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a penalty parameter `θ` and a baseline probability vector `π`
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"""
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* Ex post Bayesian expected utility preferences
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Expected utility, risk-sensitive, and ex post Bayesian prefernces are each cast in terms of a unique probability distribution, so they can express risk-aversion, but not model ambiguity aversion.
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Expected utility, risk-sensitive, and ex post Bayesian preferences are each cast in terms of a unique probability distribution, so they can express risk-aversion, but not model ambiguity aversion.
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Multiplier and constraint prefernces both express aversion to
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Multiplier and constraint preferences both express aversion to
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concerns about model misppecification, i.e., model uncertainty; both are cast in terms of a set or sets of probability distributions.
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* The set of distributions expresses the decision maker's ambiguity about the probability model.
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\sum_{i=1}^I \pi_i m_i = 1 .
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$$ (tom4)
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In {eq}`tom3`, $\eta \geq 0$ defines an entropy ball of probability distributions $\hat \pi = m \pi$ that surround a baseline distribution $\pi$.
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In {eq}`tom3`, $\eta \geq 0$ determines an entropy ball of probability distributions $\hat \pi = m \pi$ that surround a baseline distribution $\pi$.
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As noted earlier, $\sum_{i=1}^I m_i\pi_i u(c_i)$ is the expected value of $u(c)$ under a twisted probability distribution $\{\hat \pi_i\}_{i=1}^I = \{m_i \pi_i\}_{i=1}^I$.
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@@ -565,7 +565,7 @@ Under expected utility, i.e., $\theta =+\infty$, ${\sf T}u(c)$ is linear in $\pi
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The two panels in the next figure below can help us to visualize the extra adjustment for risk that the risk-sensitive operator entails.
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This will help us understand how the $\mathbf{T}$ transformation works by envisioning what function is being averaged.
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This will help us understand how the $\sf{T}$ transformation works by envisioning what function is being averaged.
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```{code-cell} ipython3
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:tags: [hide-input]
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Constraint preferences express **concern about misspecification** or **ambiguity** for short with a positive
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$\eta$ that circumscribes an entropy ball around an approximating
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probability distribution $\pi$, and *aversion aversion to model misspecification* through
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probability distribution $\pi$, and *aversion to model misspecification* through
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minimization with respect to a likelihood ratio $m$.
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Multiplier preferences express misspecification concerns with a parameter $\theta<+\infty$ that
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η = 0.12
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# Conustruct grid for c_1
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# Constuct grid for c_1
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c_1_grid_nb = 102
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c_1_grid = np.linspace(0.5, 2., num=c_1_grid_nb)
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@@ -1173,7 +1173,7 @@ $$
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**Tangent indifference curves off 45 degree line**
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For a given $\eta$ and a given allocatin $(c_1, c_2)$ off the 45 degree line, by solving
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For a given $\eta$ and a given allocation $(c_1, c_2)$ off the 45 degree line, by solving
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equations {eq}`tom7` and {eq}`tom20`, we can find $\tilde \theta (\eta, c)$
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and $\tilde \eta(\theta,c)$ that make indifference curves for
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multiplier and constraint preferences be tangent to one another.
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