[Dream Cycle 2026-06-22] intelligence: FLARE myopic commitment gap — ADR-165 SONA lookahead planning buffer

[ruvnet]

Dream Cycle — 2026-06-22 | DEEP: intelligence | SCAN: capabilities, memory

Issue: #2435
ADR: ADR-165 (view file)
Report: v3/docs/research/dream-2026-06-22-intelligence.md
Witness stamp: 1a9e3a15feffc67ade95e3aa1c6844f0753973593492a7a9fa36004dfe3c678a

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Rotation

Field	Value
SLOT	2
DEEP	intelligence
SCAN	capabilities, memory
Session commit	9c28fe038cf49ac6db0bb4e04b6158076f03894d

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Key Finding

FLARE (arXiv:2601.22311, Jan 2026) demonstrates that step-wise LLM reasoning induces "myopic commitment" — locally optimal choices cascade into long-horizon failure. LLaMA-8B + FLARE outperforms GPT-4o + CoT on multi-step planning tasks. Ruflo's SONA intelligence layer (0.0043ms reactive adaptation, measured) has no lookahead simulation, exposing it to the same failure mode at planning horizons ≥3 steps.

No competing framework (LangGraph 0.4, CrewAI 0.105, AutoGen 1.0 GA, OpenAI Agents SDK) ships explicit lookahead planning — this is an open SOTA opportunity.

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Files Changed

File	Purpose
v3/docs/adr/ADR-165-dream-cycle-intelligence-flare-lookahead.md	Proposes depth-3 lookahead buffer for SONA, feature-flagged
v3/docs/adr/README.md	Adds ADR-165 row to Quick Links table
v3/docs/research/dream-2026-06-22-intelligence.md	Witness-stamped SOTA research report

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ADR-165 Summary

Add a depth-3 FLARE-style lookahead buffer to SONA before committing to a MoE route:

Current:  observe(ctx) → HNSW retrieve → MoE gate → commit
Proposed: observe(ctx) → HNSW retrieve → [simulate 3 steps, backpropagate values] → globally optimal gate → commit

• Default lookaheadEnabled: false — zero impact on current 0.0043ms path until benchmarked
• Estimated latency: 1–10ms for depth-3, branchFactor-2 lookahead (profiling required)
• Compatible with EWC++ (read-only oracle calls)
• Positions Ruflo ahead of all four competitors on long-horizon intelligence

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Scan Highlights

• Capabilities (Grade C): LangGraph, CrewAI, AutoGen ship formal capability manifests; Ruflo's 314 MCP tools have no machine-readable registry — no ADR, implementation-level task
• Memory (Grade B): Mem0 April 2026 achieves LoCoMo 92.5 at 6,956 tokens/query (3.7× more token-efficient than full-context); Ruflo has no published scores on LoCoMo/BEAM/LongMemEval — no ADR, benchmark runner task

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Merge Policy

Leave for human review. Do not self-merge.

This PR contains a Proposed ADR (architectural decision) that requires human sign-off before implementation proceeds. The research report is informational; ADR-165 requires review of the lookahead latency trade-off before accepting.

⚠️ Note: 27 nights of dream-cycle PRs remain unmerged. This is the oldest open batch — a human review pass on the oldest PRs (#2401, #2393, #2381 era) is recommended.

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Witness

• Session commit: 9c28fe038cf49ac6db0bb4e04b6158076f03894d
• Report SHA-256: d18be6a8bf99531c08ae2fd64567f27259e4c59da4f0cad015a7eb098142691d
• Witness stamp: 1a9e3a15feffc67ade95e3aa1c6844f0753973593492a7a9fa36004dfe3c678a

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Generated by Claude Code